On Huff Post, Thomas B. Edsall spends a good bit of time breaking down just how demographically stuck in the mud the Republican Party is. Having turned off Latinos its beyond-hostile stance on immigration, it has missed a growth opportunity because of its bigoted base of blue collar, religious conservative voters (primarily in the South), a demographic that is their only growth area.
With Republican party leaders so constrained by ideological blinders that none of their positions is likely to produce gains among non-white minorities, especially Hispanics, the GOP is finding it has no real alternative but to revert to a “white voter” strategy.To some extent, it’s working. The party’s opposition to President Obama’s agenda — particularly his cap-and-trade energy proposal and health care reform plan — is resonating strongly with disaffected white Democratic voters. Republican grievances about Obama, combined with race-baiting commentary from the far-right ideologues who have become some of the most dominant voices of the modern GOP, have led to a precipitous drop in the president’s approval ratings among whites.
Polling data shows that members of this group who took a chance on Obama (most never really supporters of Barack Obama in the first place), are “coming home” to the party of last resort. The GOP and its unappointed leadership — Rush, Hannity, O’Reilly, Coulter — don’t believe in broadening the party, and the alienated sheeple have clung onto the race-baiting and sheer lunacy (the Birthers) that leaves the party looking even more extreme and desperate.
Take a look at the photos in this post — taken by BlueNC’s Jerimee Richer last week of the teabagger crowd protesting the President’s town hall on health care in Raleigh . This is the Base the GOP has to expand.
The appeal of the anti-Obama agenda has proven to be particularly strong among whites of low and moderate incomes. The Pew Center, tracking evaluations of Obama’s job performance, found in a July 30 report that there “has been essentially no shift in opinion among affluent whites [but] among whites with annual family incomes of less than $75,000, Obama’s approval ratings have declined substantially (from 57% in June to 47% today). Assessments of Obama’s performance remain high among African Americans (85%).”…Republican pollster Bill McInturff notes that his party must make substantial gains among Hispanic voters or be relegated to minority status. But that just isn’t likely.
With a solid majority of Republican senators opposed to the appointment of Sonia Sotomayor, the first Latina nominee to the Supreme Court, and a solid phalanx of adamant Republican opposition to any immigration reform which provides a path to permanent residency of illegal immigrants, the GOP has no real chance of increasing its share of the Hispanic vote.



8 Comments



Interesting analysis…. Per Gallup..Obama support. January vs. July 2009 WHITES: 63 – 47, Blacks 86 – 95, Hispanics 74-72.But more important are the total non-white demographics, if we can keep them non-apathetic, as these actual voter trends show.l992 ~ 12% nonwhite: 2/3 of these black.2008 ~ 26% nonwhite 1/2 black… 1/2 other.Thus, his conclusion:
The old Party of the Rockefeller’s…is now the Party of Po’ White Trash.
Sad isn’t it?The Republican Party is now the Dixiecrats?
This isn’t a surprise..There was a “tea party” here in town, who was there? All white people. This town has higher numbers of minorities than most, but still… all white people.
I guess they think it’s their turn to march for their rights. I suppose they forget they have the most out of all groups in the US.
What’s more interesting, I’ve noticed. If a white person loses their job.. they instantly turn anti-Obama. I’ve had three acquaintances from highschool send me emails stating just that fact. Blaming “Obama bin Laden” for their job loss.
The repuglican scare tactic has worked on them.
I dunno what makes them so weak. I lost my job, I’ll be unemployed for a year in October if things don’t change soon. Certainly don’t blame Obama for that. This economic mess is built by greed, and that encompasses both political parties. But, the GOP has been good and running a grass roots smear campaign through churches.. where the god fearing folk blame liberalism for every woe.
In Hawaii, tooThere was even a tea party on Oahu, where whites are the minority, and the state is 95% Dem. Driving by, I saw a total of three Asian-Pacific Islander faces in the crowd. The rest were all middle-aged to retired white guys, led by a wealthy white building contractor named Joe Pandolfe, who owns a $700,000 luxury home in an elite marina neighborhood in Hawaii Kai, one of the richest communities on Oahu. Which is, unsurprisingly, represented by two rich white Republican men. And he is being financially hurt by the government. Yep. Uh huh.
This is the face of the GOP – angry white people who can’t get over the fact that we have a black President. Whether they’re rich and have healthcare, or poor and can’t afford it, doesn’t matter. They’re just a bunch of angry white people who are willing to be fed lies about “socialized medicine” so they have a peseudo-legitimate cover for their racism.
Good lord Pam, where did you get that picture of Grandpa?And does anyone really believe that he doesn’t receive Medicare or disability? I think not.
Uhm, no. It really is the economy.While it is clear that the far right people you see at the tea parties and spouting all this hateful nonsense are nearly all white, those are not the people who “took a chance on Obama” at any point. These are not the people bringing his approval ratings back down. And, while I have a great deal of respect for both Spaulding and Edsall (and a personal liking for Edsall as an acquaintance,) I must say that equating all lower-income white people with the people in those stories is unfair, incorrect and will ultimately prove self-defeating.
Obama’s approval among poor whites has fallen because the economy is continuing to decline, and the stimulus (aside from cash for clunkers) has done nothing to make things better. He’s not going to lose most black voters, ever, because he is a great source of pride and progress for their community, and someone they can point their children to as inspiration. Republicans have lost a good chunk of Latinos and other ethnic minorities for the foreseeable future over health care and Sotomayor.
This country elected this man in a landslide election. It didn’t suddenly become about race six months after he was sworn in. His honeymoon is simply over, and now he’s being judged (probably prematurely) on performance.
During the primaries, commentators looked at exit polls that showed every racial group backing Clinton by a slim margin, except African Americans who were voting Obama 9-1. They then asked, “Why are Clinton’s supporters so racist?” Race is an easy conclusion to leap to, but it defies logic in both cases.
They just redefine “government”to exclude any functions related to recognition, regulation and enforcement of private-property claims. It’s how they come up with the “I’m being hurt by the government” B.S. — when the rich are the biggest beneficiaries of government action.